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Historian vs Futurist on Human Progress
Historian Niall Ferguson debates futurist author Peter Schwartz on the overall nature of human progress.

Niall Ferguson, MA, D.Phil., is the Laurence A. Tisch Professor of History at Harvard University. He is a resident faculty member of the Minda de Gunzburg Center for European Studies. He is also a Senior Research Fellow of Jesus College, Oxford University, and a Senior Fellow of the Hoover Institution, Stanford University. He is most recently the author of the books The War of the World: Twentieth-Century Conflict and the Descent of the West (2006) and Colossus: The Rise and Fall of the American Empire (2004).

Peter Schwartz is cofounder and chairman of Global Business Network (GBN), a unique membership organization and worldwide network of strategists, business executives, scientists, and artists based in California. GBN specializes in corporate scenario planning and research on the future of the business environment. Schwartz is the co-author of both the 1999 books The Long Boom, and When Good Companies Do Bad Things: Responsibility and Risk in an Age of Globalization, and is the author of the 1991 book, The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World.

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Why Baby Boomers Failed - From Glen Allport
11 nov  |  Instead of Burning Man, Boomers had Woodstock and the Summer of Love. Instead of rap and video games, Boomers grooved to Stevie Wonder (and a thousand other artists who were focused, as much as anything, on love and peace) and staged massive anti-war protests. “Do your own thing” was the generation’s affirmation of personal freedom and rejection of all forms of repression. “Do whatever you want as long as you aren’t hurting anyone else” was another oft-heard sentiment...

Surely, the repression, conformity, racism, and war-mongering of previous generations were about to give way to a more open, free, compassionate and peaceful world. So what happened? I believe the answer is surprisingly simple. With tragic consequences, Boomers failed to embrace non-coercion, at least where government was concerned – and that one mistake sabotaged everything positive the Boomers stood for, including peace, love, and freedom...

Love and freedom are a connected duality, and each half only works with help from the other. Our job is to move that thought, and eventually that understanding, into people’s minds as widely and quickly as possible. The free and compassionate world – the secret world of our hearts – depends on it. Life itself on this Earth may depend on it. The Boomers stumbled and failed here; their children and grandchildren must not. . . read more

Shift Happens
23 apr  |  The pace of change seems to be ever increasing. Can't keep up with it all? Here's a nice little summary, complete with dramatic soundtrack. . . read more
Did You Know?
20 nov  |  Here is a video depicting the frightening brave new world we soon will all be entering. . . read more
More Shift Happens
14 jan  |  An update to Shift Happens, a very popular web video showing the massive changes that have taken place in human society over the past 100 years and how the pace of change seems to be quickening. . . read more
Lines Blur Between Man and Machine
1 may  |  Inventor and futurist Ray Kurzweil illustrates the exponential evolution of technology, predicting a sharp rise in computing capability, robotics and life expectancy within the next 15 years. He outlines the shocking ways we'll use technology to augment our own capabilities, forever blurring the lines between human and machine.  . . read more
Peak Oil's Tipping Point
24 jun  |  14 June 2007 may turn out to be something of a tipping point for peak oil. Its the day 'peak oil' went mainstream - at least in the UK, anyway. . . read more
The Eco-Capitalists Are Coming...
5 sep  |  A passion for nature has not always meant a passion for riches. Wrote Thoreau, "I would rather sit on a pumpkin and have it all to myself, than be crowded on a velvet cushion". But the global challenge to limit use of non-renewables is giving rise to a new breed of eco-capitalists who just might hold the keys to a renewable future.  . . read more
Tales of Future Past
17 may  |  Remember when the future was something to look forward to? . . read more
What Part Will You Play? - From Rashes101
17 dec  |  As daunting as the problem of climate change is, it is still only a symptom of a deeper and more fundamental issue. The unstoppable force of human technological development and power is meeting the immovable object of our planet's biosphere. Our economies are built on the celebration of waste, our public discourse consists largely of a disconnected trivia in which celebrity is valued above knowledge or responsibility, and our commercial and political institutions are incapable of long or even medium term thinking. Nevertheless, there ARE reasons for hope.

And the one thing that is certain is that we WILL change. The question is whether we will change in our own, orderly, way according to our choice, or be changed chaotically by forces beyond our control. Whatever happens, we won't be living like this in fifty years. Reality will triumph over the most entrenched hubris and arrogance. Faith in the technology that has caused so many of our problems is misplaced without the wisdom to temper that power. These are dramatic times - times that will be remembered for many millennia to come, whatever kind of world we leave our descendants.

In the end, perhaps the most important crisis is a personal one, inside each and everyone of us. What did YOU do when it counted? What part did YOU play? What kind of a person will the crisis of climate change expose you to be? In the end, there are no more important questions than these: Who are you? Why are you here?

(An extract from the avalanche of comments in response to Guardian columnist George Monbiot's call for the "complete decarbonisation of the global economy") . . read more

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"Government's view of the economy could be summed up in a few short phrases: If it moves, tax it. If it keeps moving, regulate it. And if it stops moving, subsidize it." -- Ronald Reagan (1986)